NEW ANALYSIS: Swing Voters Reject RFK Jr. as MAHA Support Weakens

April 15, 2026

(Philadelphia, PA) —A new national poll from 314 Action and Data for Progress found RFK Jr. is a liability for Republicans in the midterms, with less than 1 in 6 voters identifying with the MAHA movement. 


“RFK Jr. is a political liability, especially in swing districts. Voters want better public health outcomes, but when they learn about the administration’s health care cuts and RFK Jr.’s actions as HHS Secretary—support for him and candidates aligned with the MAHA agenda collapses,” said Erik Polyak, Executive Director of 314 Action.

As RFK Jr. takes his anti-science message across the country, voters overwhelmingly prefer candidates with backgrounds in science or medicine by a margin of nearly 6-to-1 over MAHA-aligned candidates. The new poll shows favorability for RFK Jr. and the MAHA agenda sharply declines among all likely voters, especially swing voters and Independents as they voters learn more about his dangerous “public health” record as Health and Human Services Secretary.

Key findings:


  • About half of Independents (51%) and swing district voters (50%) say MAHA is not delivering on its promises.
  • More than 1 in 3 voters (34%) — including 33% of swing district voters — do not support the MAHA movement. 
  • Voters prefer candidates with backgrounds in science and medicine over those aligned with the MAHA agenda, by more than a 15-point margin. 
  • By the end of the survey, every tested subgroup decreases its favorability of RFK Jr., most by double-digit margins.


Read the polling memo here.


The Hill: “Minority of voters identify with MAHA despite some support for its goals: Poll”


Key Points:

The polling, released Tuesday, found that while 39 percent of voters say they support many of MAHA’s goals, only 14 percent consider themselves a part of the movement.

  • Among Democrats, independent and third-party voters, even less identified with MAHA, while in swing districts, only 13 percent identified with the agenda championed by Health and Human Services (HHS) Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
  • Only among Republicans did support for the MAHA agenda go up, with 29 percent saying they identify with it.
  • Voters indicated they would support candidates who champion policies like requiring routine vaccinations, increasing funding for diseases like cancer and dementia, limiting pesticide use in agriculture, banning food dyes and boosting funds for mRNA research.
  • Among independent and swing voters, half said they do not believe the MAHA movement is delivering on its promises.
  • More than half of all likely voters said they trusted organizations and agencies like the HHS; World Health Organization; the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC); the Food and Drug Administration (FDA); and “vaccines in general.”
  • Pollsters noted that favorability towards Kennedy fell among participants after the survey, during which they learned more about his history.


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314 Action is the only national organization working to recruit, train and elect Democratic scientists across all levels of government—from the Senate down to local school boards. The organization is powered by a grassroots community of over six million people supporting scientists and health care professionals who will use science and facts to address the most urgent issues facing our generation